Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bergeron wins 63.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.2% vs Jost 42.2% (+21.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 95.5%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 81.3%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 92.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 94.9%
94.9%
5.1%
Bergeron
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bergeron
Jost
Last 5: Bergeron 4-1 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
1
Bergeron
Jost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (1,102)
40.8% (314)
+23.0%
Power Play
65.3% (288)
37.5% (8)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (210)
39.4% (104)
+8.2%
On power play, Bergeron has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Bergeron shoots right. Jost is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Jost
Home
62.5% (882)
42.8% (264)
Away
61.3% (718)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Bergeron
Jost
P1
62.5%
37.4%
P2
62.7%
40.5%
P3
60.6%
43.3%
Final 5 min
61.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |