Patrice Bergeron vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 30 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.2% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 45-24 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 98.2%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 95.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 98.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 97.1%
97.1%
2.9%
Bergeron
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
24
(69 meetings)
45
24
Bergeron
Karlsson
Last 10: Bergeron 3-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
25
5
Bergeron
Karlsson
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
12
14
Bergeron
Karlsson
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
8
5
Bergeron
Karlsson
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (13,938)
51.8% (7,849)
+8.3%
Power Play
60.8% (3,213)
54.8% (1,048)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (2,776)
44.2% (1,109)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Bergeron shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Karlsson
Home
61.2% (10,028)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
57.3% (9,930)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Bergeron
Karlsson
P1
59.3%
50.3%
P2
60.0%
51.3%
P3
58.6%
52.4%
OT
57.9%
44.9%
Final 5 min
58.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | William Karlsson |