Patrice Bergeron vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Bergeron wins 63.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.5% vs Karlsson 54.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 50.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 57.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 51.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Bergeron
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Bergeron
Karlsson
Last 10: Bergeron 3-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
6
3
Bergeron
Karlsson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
5
Bergeron
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,109)
55.3% (897)
+7.2%
Power Play
62.2% (352)
61.1% (113)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (245)
50.8% (132)
+2.7%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Bergeron shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Karlsson
Home
61.9% (917)
58.6% (560)
Away
60.2% (789)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Bergeron
Karlsson
P1
60.8%
55.8%
P2
60.3%
55.6%
P3
63.0%
55.7%
OT
51.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |