Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Brown 54.6% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 65.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 61.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Lowry
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lowry
Brown
Last 7: Lowry 3-4 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Brown
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
2
Lowry
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,115)
56.5% (726)
-3.6%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
62.5% (8)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,137)
47.8% (136)
-2.9%
On power play, Brown has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,979).
Lowry shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Lowry
Brown
Home
53.5% (5,893)
57.4% (364)
Away
49.7% (5,814)
53.6% (506)
By Period
Lowry
Brown
P1
51.6%
51.4%
P2
51.8%
54.6%
P3
51.5%
58.8%
OT
47.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
54.0%▼
56.0%
51.6%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |