Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roslovic wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Brown 56.8% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 95.0%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 64.0%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 83.0%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Roslovic
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Roslovic
Brown
Last 5: Roslovic 0-5 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
4
Roslovic
Brown
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Roslovic
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
61.3% (336)
-18.4%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
50.0% (4)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
45.9% (74)
-17.8%
On even strength, Brown has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Roslovic is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Roslovic shoots right. Brown is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Brown
Home
41.6% (442)
61.1% (180)
Away
45.5% (413)
56.4% (234)
By Period
Roslovic
Brown
P1
44.9%
57.5%
P2
43.8%
58.5%
P3
41.8%
59.2%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |