Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Patrick Brown
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Brown 51.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 78.2%
Defensive zone
Brown 73.7%
Neutral zone
Brown 53.1%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Kotkaniemi
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kotkaniemi
Brown
Last 5: Kotkaniemi 1-4 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
3
Kotkaniemi
Brown
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Brown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (637)
52.8% (284)
-1.0%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
75.0% (4)
-26.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
49.0% (51)
-6.1%
On power play, Brown has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Brown is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Brown
Home
53.1% (339)
53.5% (144)
Away
49.9% (361)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Brown
P1
48.3%
49.0%
P2
55.0%
48.7%
P3
50.4%
58.6%
Final 5 min
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |