Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 54.6% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
Brown 61.8%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 58.0%
Neutral zone
Brown 51.2%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Brown
Gaustad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (726)
58.2% (4,334)
-1.7%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
65.4% (188)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
54.8% (1,290)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Brown shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Brown
Gaustad
Home
57.4% (364)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
53.6% (506)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Brown
Gaustad
P1
51.4%
58.2%
P2
54.6%
56.4%
P3
58.8%
58.3%
OT
50.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%