Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Brown wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 54.6% vs Bennett 47.2% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 84.0%
Defensive zone
Brown 82.6%
Neutral zone
Bennett 56.3%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Brown
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Brown
Bennett
Last 8: Brown 3-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
2
0
Brown
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
4
Brown
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (726)
46.8% (5,683)
+9.7%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.7% (555)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
41.8% (256)
+6.0%
On even strength, Brown has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Brown shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,262).
Home / Away
Brown
Bennett
Home
57.4% (364)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
53.6% (506)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Brown
Bennett
P1
51.4%
48.0%
P2
54.6%
46.5%
P3
58.8%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
52.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 06:47 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |