Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 56.8% vs Bennett 47.2% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 91.0%
Defensive zone
Brown 79.6%
Neutral zone
Bennett 57.2%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Brown
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Brown
Bennett
Last 6: Brown 2-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Brown
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
61.3% (336)
45.5% (756)
+15.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
63.0% (92)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (74)
31.0% (29)
+14.9%
On even strength, Brown has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Brown is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Brown shoots right. Bennett is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Brown
Bennett
Home
61.1% (180)
46.5% (456)
Away
56.4% (234)
47.3% (421)
By Period
Brown
Bennett
P1
57.5%
46.6%
P2
58.5%
50.5%
P3
59.2%
43.5%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
61.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |