Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Brown wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 54.6% vs Crosby 53.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 77.7%
Defensive zone
Brown 90.0%
Neutral zone
Brown 66.8%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Brown
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Brown
Crosby
Last 7: Brown 3-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Brown
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (726)
52.8% (17,990)
+3.7%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
57.4% (4,733)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (136)
47.1% (765)
+0.7%
On power play, Brown has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Brown shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Brown
Crosby
Home
57.4% (364)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
53.6% (506)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Brown
Crosby
P1
51.4%
53.6%
P2
54.6%
53.9%
P3
58.8%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |