Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 53.0%). Brown wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 51.9% vs Crosby 52.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 89.2%
Defensive zone
Brown 76.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Brown
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Brown
Crosby
Last 5: Brown 3-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (284)
52.5% (1,443)
+0.3%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
54.7% (369)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
55.9% (34)
-6.9%
On power play, Brown has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Brown is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Brown shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Brown
Crosby
Home
53.5% (144)
53.0% (931)
Away
51.8% (195)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Brown
Crosby
P1
49.0%
50.3%
P2
48.7%
55.4%
P3
58.6%
53.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |