Scouting Report
Patrik Elias holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Dwyer wins 35.7% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dwyer 38.5% vs Elias 42.7% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dwyer 52.7%
Defensive zone
Dwyer 56.2%
Neutral zone
Dwyer 50.6%
Result
Patrick Dwyer favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Dwyer
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dwyer
Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
2
Dwyer
Elias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dwyer
1
0
Dwyer
Elias
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dwyer
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (313)
42.3% (2,591)
-6.2%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
48.4% (405)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (28)
36.0% (367)
-7.4%
On power play, Elias has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Dwyer is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Dwyer shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Dwyer
Elias
Home
36.8% (163)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
34.0% (194)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Dwyer
Elias
P1
36.7%
41.1%
P2
30.8%
43.1%
P3
39.8%
43.0%
OT
0.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
33.3%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dwyer
30.0%▼
38.0%
35.3%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Patrick Dwyer |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |