Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +22.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dwyer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dwyer wins 34.6% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dwyer 38.5% vs Peverley 57.7% (-22.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peverley 65.8%
Defensive zone
Peverley 64.8%
Neutral zone
Peverley 74.0%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Dwyer
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dwyer
Peverley
Last 6: Dwyer 3-3 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dwyer
3
0
Dwyer
Peverley
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
1
Dwyer
Peverley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
2
Dwyer
Peverley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dwyer
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (313)
58.0% (1,715)
-21.9%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
57.0% (391)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (28)
59.2% (333)
-30.6%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Dwyer is 34.6% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Dwyer shoots right. Peverley is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Dwyer
Peverley
Home
36.8% (163)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
34.0% (194)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Dwyer
Peverley
P1
36.7%
59.6%
P2
30.8%
57.8%
P3
39.8%
57.0%
OT
0.0%
51.3%
Final 5 min
33.3%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dwyer
30.0%▼
38.0%
35.3%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Patrick Dwyer |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Patrick Dwyer |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Patrick Dwyer |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |