Scouting Report
Seth Jarvis holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Dwyer wins 34.6% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dwyer 38.5% vs Jarvis 42.6% (-6.1%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 53.7%
Defensive zone
Dwyer 55.5%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 56.1%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Dwyer
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dwyer
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (313)
42.0% (352)
-5.9%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
43.7% (119)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (28)
38.2% (157)
-9.6%
On power play, Jarvis has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Dwyer is 34.6% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Dwyer shoots right. Jarvis is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Dwyer
Jarvis
Home
36.8% (163)
43.8% (336)
Away
34.0% (194)
38.7% (292)
By Period
Dwyer
Jarvis
P1
36.7%
39.7%
P2
30.8%
39.5%
P3
39.8%
46.1%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
33.3%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dwyer
30.0%▼
38.0%
35.3%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.4%