Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kane on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kane wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 43.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 74.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 91.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 87.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Kane
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kane
Stastny
Last 7: Kane 5-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
2
1
Kane
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kane
3
1
Kane
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (525)
55.0% (1,136)
-13.9%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
57.5% (200)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
53.1% (64)
+26.9%
On penalty kill, Kane has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kane is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Kane shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Kane
Stastny
Home
43.4% (288)
58.5% (744)
Away
40.9% (281)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Kane
Stastny
P1
46.9%
57.9%
P2
38.6%
54.9%
P3
41.5%
53.0%
OT
26.7%
72.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
38.0%▲
27.0%
42.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |