Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kane on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kane wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 39.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 70.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 96.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 88.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Kane
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kane
Stastny
Last 8: Kane 5-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
2
1
Kane
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kane
3
2
Kane
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (667)
54.6% (10,616)
-16.7%
Power Play
33.7% (92)
59.1% (1,994)
-25.4%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
52.9% (1,119)
+18.5%
On power play, Stastny has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kane is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Kane shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Kane
Stastny
Home
39.0% (382)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
36.7% (387)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Kane
Stastny
P1
42.1%
56.3%
P2
33.6%
55.4%
P3
38.2%
53.5%
OT
30.4%
62.9%
Final 5 min
39.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
34.0%▲
28.0%
37.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 04:22 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 7, 2010 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |