Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kane on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kane wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 39.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kane 66.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 91.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Kane
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kane
O'Reilly
Last 8: Kane 4-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
4
0
Kane
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Kane
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kane
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (669)
56.2% (15,260)
-18.2%
Power Play
34.0% (97)
58.8% (3,445)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
51.4% (2,811)
+20.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kane is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Kane shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Kane
O'Reilly
Home
39.1% (384)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
36.7% (392)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Kane
O'Reilly
P1
41.9%
55.6%
P2
33.5%
57.0%
P3
38.8%
55.1%
OT
30.4%
62.2%
Final 5 min
38.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
38.0%▲
27.0%
37.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |