Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kane on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kane wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 43.3% vs Gagner 47.9% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 65.6%
Defensive zone
Gagner 83.3%
Neutral zone
Gagner 66.5%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Kane
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kane
Gagner
Last 7: Kane 5-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
1
0
Kane
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kane
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kane
3
1
Kane
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (525)
47.6% (599)
-6.5%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
47.7% (86)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
60.0% (5)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Kane has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Kane is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Kane shoots left. Gagner is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Kane
Gagner
Home
43.4% (288)
49.5% (331)
Away
40.9% (281)
45.9% (370)
By Period
Kane
Gagner
P1
46.9%
47.7%
P2
38.6%
43.9%
P3
41.5%
51.8%
OT
26.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
38.0%▲
27.0%
42.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 14:53 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 05:47 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Patrick Kane |