Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kane on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kane wins 34.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 39.3% vs Gagner 46.0% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 64.4%
Defensive zone
Gagner 92.4%
Neutral zone
Gagner 69.5%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 75.3%
24.7%
75.3%
Kane
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kane
Gagner
Last 7: Kane 5-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
1
0
Kane
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kane
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kane
3
1
Kane
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (669)
45.4% (4,699)
-7.4%
Power Play
34.0% (97)
51.5% (928)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
35.0% (226)
+36.4%
On penalty kill, Kane has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Kane is 34.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Kane shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Kane
Gagner
Home
39.1% (384)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
36.7% (392)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Kane
Gagner
P1
41.9%
44.6%
P2
33.5%
46.1%
P3
38.8%
47.3%
OT
30.4%
42.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
38.0%▲
27.0%
37.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 14:53 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Patrick Kane |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 05:47 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | Patrick Kane |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Patrick Kane |