Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 48.8% vs Marleau 50.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Marleau leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 59.9%
Defensive zone
Marleau 55.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 55.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Carter
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Carter
Marleau
Last 10: Carter 2-8 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter
Marleau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
5
Carter
Marleau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
4
Carter
Marleau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (977)
49.0% (437)
-0.5%
Power Play
57.8% (128)
70.6% (34)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (123)
53.7% (54)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Carter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (836).
Carter shoots right. Marleau is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Carter
Marleau
Home
50.8% (597)
55.1% (234)
Away
46.8% (631)
47.4% (291)
By Period
Carter
Marleau
P1
48.8%
56.3%
P2
48.0%
48.5%
P3
49.4%
46.5%
OT
45.5%
83.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |