Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.0% vs Marleau 47.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 59.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 50.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.7%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Roy
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Roy
Marleau
Last 6: Roy 3-3 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
2
Roy
Marleau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Roy
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (275)
46.0% (274)
-4.5%
Power Play
81.8% (11)
57.1% (14)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (31)
58.3% (12)
+3.0%
On power play, Roy has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Roy is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Roy shoots right. Marleau is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Roy
Marleau
Home
46.1% (167)
46.9% (209)
Away
43.3% (150)
47.3% (91)
By Period
Roy
Marleau
P1
46.7%
51.0%
P2
38.5%
47.1%
P3
50.5%
43.8%
Final 5 min
42.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.8%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:01 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |