Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 51.8%). Look for Marleau on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 50.9% vs Koivu 51.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Marleau leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Marleau 54.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 70.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 52.2%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Marleau
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
11
(28 meetings)
17
11
Marleau
Koivu
Last 10: Marleau 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
11
2
Marleau
Koivu
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
6
Marleau
Koivu
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
4
3
Marleau
Koivu
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (2,656)
51.9% (3,221)
-1.6%
Power Play
55.7% (332)
59.3% (437)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (452)
48.0% (764)
+2.7%
On power play, Koivu has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Marleau is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Marleau shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Marleau
Koivu
Home
53.3% (1,735)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
48.5% (1,715)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Marleau
Koivu
P1
52.2%
51.1%
P2
49.5%
52.6%
P3
50.7%
51.8%
OT
55.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 12:35 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 11:58 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |