Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 52.2% vs Gagner 47.1% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 85.3%
Defensive zone
Gagner 54.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 72.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Marleau
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Marleau
Gagner
Last 10: Marleau 3-7 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
4
Marleau
Gagner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Marleau
Gagner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (234)
45.9% (815)
+10.5%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
55.3% (132)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (64)
25.0% (16)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Marleau is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (134).
Marleau shoots left. Gagner is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Marleau
Gagner
Home
52.7% (167)
48.7% (542)
Away
53.2% (141)
44.4% (421)
By Period
Marleau
Gagner
P1
51.5%
45.1%
P2
51.2%
46.6%
P3
55.9%
49.7%
OT
44.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |