Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 50.9% vs Gagner 46.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 73.6%
Defensive zone
Gagner 60.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 64.4%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Marleau
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
15
(26 meetings)
11
15
Marleau
Gagner
Last 10: Marleau 4-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
9
Marleau
Gagner
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
4
2
Marleau
Gagner
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
6
4
Marleau
Gagner
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (2,656)
45.4% (4,699)
+4.9%
Power Play
55.7% (332)
51.5% (928)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (452)
35.0% (226)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Marleau is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,389).
Marleau shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Marleau
Gagner
Home
53.3% (1,735)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
48.5% (1,715)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Marleau
Gagner
P1
52.2%
44.6%
P2
49.5%
46.1%
P3
50.7%
47.3%
OT
55.1%
42.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 19:05 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |