Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Marleau wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 47.8% vs Steel 52.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 53.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 60.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 69.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Marleau
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Marleau
Steel
Last 5: Marleau 3-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
0
Marleau
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Marleau
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (274)
51.6% (401)
-5.6%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
66.7% (39)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
44.4% (9)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Marleau is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Marleau shoots left. Steel is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Marleau
Steel
Home
46.9% (209)
55.8% (206)
Away
47.3% (91)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Marleau
Steel
P1
51.0%
57.0%
P2
47.1%
50.7%
P3
43.8%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 11:25 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |