Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.2%). Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 50.9% vs Steel 50.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 53.7%
Defensive zone
Marleau 57.4%
Neutral zone
Marleau 51.0%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Marleau
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Marleau
Steel
Last 7: Marleau 4-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Marleau
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
0
Marleau
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Marleau
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (2,656)
50.6% (2,876)
-0.3%
Power Play
55.7% (332)
62.6% (179)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (452)
37.4% (254)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Marleau is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Marleau shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Marleau
Steel
Home
53.3% (1,735)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
48.5% (1,715)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Marleau
Steel
P1
52.2%
51.9%
P2
49.5%
49.5%
P3
50.7%
49.6%
OT
55.1%
41.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 11:25 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Sam Steel |