Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.8% vs 55.1%). Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.1% vs Berglund 53.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 61.6%
Defensive zone
Berglund 57.8%
Neutral zone
Berglund 51.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Spezza
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Spezza
Berglund
Last 10: Spezza 3-7 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
2
Spezza
Berglund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
1
Spezza
Berglund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
5
Spezza
Berglund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (654)
55.2% (270)
+1.2%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
65.0% (20)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
45.8% (24)
+4.2%
On power play, Berglund has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Spezza shoots right. Berglund is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Spezza
Berglund
Home
61.4% (352)
61.2% (139)
Away
50.9% (395)
50.3% (175)
By Period
Spezza
Berglund
P1
60.6%
57.1%
P2
54.8%
60.2%
P3
52.5%
48.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.5%
61.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |