Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Berglund 46.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 75.3%
Defensive zone
Berglund 75.1%
Neutral zone
Berglund 70.5%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Carter
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Carter
Berglund
Last 8: Carter 2-6 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Carter
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
2
Carter
Berglund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Carter
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
46.3% (490)
+6.6%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
52.4% (63)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
38.0% (50)
+0.5%
On even strength, Carter has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Carter shoots right. Berglund is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Carter
Berglund
Home
56.4% (181)
49.8% (295)
Away
49.3% (203)
42.9% (308)
By Period
Carter
Berglund
P1
56.6%
47.5%
P2
54.0%
46.4%
P3
47.2%
45.7%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:36 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |