Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 49.1% vs Berglund 50.0% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 53.8%
Defensive zone
Berglund 57.4%
Neutral zone
Berglund 57.7%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Ward
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Ward
Berglund
Last 7: Ward 4-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ward
Berglund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (339)
50.5% (982)
+2.3%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
55.7% (79)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
40.7% (108)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Ward is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Ward shoots right. Berglund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Ward
Berglund
Home
53.4% (251)
50.7% (548)
Away
43.4% (205)
49.3% (621)
By Period
Ward
Berglund
P1
49.4%
49.6%
P2
46.9%
50.5%
P3
50.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |