Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Berglund 49.0% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 78.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 55.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 74.9%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Koivu
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Koivu
Berglund
Last 5: Koivu 4-1 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Berglund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
0
Koivu
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,268)
48.5% (301)
+6.8%
Power Play
57.6% (321)
50.0% (14)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (202)
50.0% (14)
+1.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Koivu shoots left. Berglund is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Koivu
Berglund
Home
58.3% (906)
53.3% (180)
Away
52.1% (885)
43.0% (149)
By Period
Koivu
Berglund
P1
53.0%
52.3%
P2
55.6%
46.8%
P3
56.6%
46.7%
OT
64.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |