Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 48.7% vs Horak 43.1% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 83.9%
Defensive zone
Berglund 77.7%
Neutral zone
Berglund 78.4%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Berglund
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Berglund
Horak
Last 9: Berglund 6-3 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Berglund
Horak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
0
Berglund
Horak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
3
2
Berglund
Horak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (895)
40.1% (399)
+8.2%
Power Play
50.4% (141)
53.8% (26)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (120)
50.0% (14)
-1.7%
On even strength, Berglund has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Berglund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Berglund shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Berglund
Horak
Home
50.9% (593)
40.5% (227)
Away
46.1% (575)
42.5% (214)
By Period
Berglund
Horak
P1
50.9%
42.3%
P2
45.3%
40.5%
P3
50.8%
41.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 07:42 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Roman Horak |