Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 48.7% vs Horak 43.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 83.2%
Defensive zone
Berglund 71.9%
Neutral zone
Berglund 78.6%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Berglund
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Berglund
Horak
Last 10: Berglund 7-3 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Berglund
Horak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
0
Berglund
Horak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
4
3
Berglund
Horak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,697)
41.8% (594)
+7.2%
Power Play
51.3% (548)
51.4% (37)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (461)
57.9% (19)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,687).
Berglund shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Berglund
Horak
Home
50.9% (2,829)
43.7% (325)
Away
46.6% (2,904)
42.2% (327)
By Period
Berglund
Horak
P1
49.3%
42.4%
P2
48.2%
44.2%
P3
49.0%
42.6%
OT
39.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 07:42 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Roman Horak |