Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 46.8% vs Kesler 55.6% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 59.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 78.9%
Neutral zone
Kesler 68.5%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Berglund
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Berglund
Kesler
Last 7: Berglund 5-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
3
1
Berglund
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
1
Berglund
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (490)
57.6% (231)
-11.3%
Power Play
52.4% (63)
65.5% (29)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (50)
51.2% (43)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Berglund is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Berglund shoots left. Kesler is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Berglund
Kesler
Home
49.8% (295)
58.8% (114)
Away
42.9% (308)
56.6% (189)
By Period
Berglund
Kesler
P1
47.5%
60.8%
P2
46.4%
60.0%
P3
45.7%
52.5%
OT
20.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |