Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 36 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 48.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 45-38 in 83 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 68.2%
Defensive zone
Berglund 72.6%
Neutral zone
Berglund 73.4%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Berglund
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
45
(83 meetings)
38
45
Berglund
Kesler
Last 10: Berglund 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
22
14
Berglund
Kesler
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
9
16
Berglund
Kesler
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
7
15
Berglund
Kesler
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,697)
56.4% (8,095)
-7.4%
Power Play
51.3% (548)
60.7% (1,437)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (461)
50.5% (1,908)
-7.3%
On power play, Kesler has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Berglund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,046).
Berglund shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Berglund
Kesler
Home
50.9% (2,829)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
46.6% (2,904)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Berglund
Kesler
P1
49.3%
56.5%
P2
48.2%
55.9%
P3
49.0%
56.1%
OT
39.7%
46.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2017 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 15, 2017 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 15, 2017 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 15, 2017 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 15, 2017 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 15, 2017 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 15, 2017 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 15, 2017 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 00:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |