Scouting Report
Brad Boyes holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 48.0% vs Elias 44.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 50.2%
Defensive zone
Elias 57.0%
Neutral zone
Elias 53.8%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Boyes
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Boyes
Elias
Last 6: Boyes 3-3 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyes
Elias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
1
0
Boyes
Elias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Boyes
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (246)
44.7% (954)
+2.0%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
46.9% (196)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
36.1% (180)
-36.1%
On penalty kill, Elias has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Boyes is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Boyes shoots right. Elias is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Boyes
Elias
Home
48.7% (113)
46.0% (692)
Away
46.1% (154)
42.2% (677)
By Period
Boyes
Elias
P1
44.3%
40.7%
P2
48.9%
46.8%
P3
48.1%
44.0%
OT
100.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.2%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |