Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 50.7% vs Elias 44.5% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 88.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 64.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 77.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Carter
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Carter
Elias
Last 9: Carter 6-3 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
0
Carter
Elias
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Elias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Carter
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (565)
44.7% (954)
+6.3%
Power Play
50.0% (188)
46.9% (196)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
36.1% (180)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (509).
Carter shoots right. Elias is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Carter
Elias
Home
52.3% (421)
46.0% (692)
Away
49.0% (353)
42.2% (677)
By Period
Carter
Elias
P1
55.4%
40.7%
P2
49.1%
46.8%
P3
47.6%
44.0%
OT
58.8%
53.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
50.8%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2011 | OT | 01:52 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |