Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Elias wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Peverley 57.7% (-15.5%)
H2H factor
Peverley leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 85.1%
Defensive zone
Elias 82.4%
Neutral zone
Elias 83.8%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Elias
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Elias
Peverley
Last 10: Elias 3-7 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Elias
Peverley
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
1
4
Elias
Peverley
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
1
Elias
Peverley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
58.0% (1,715)
-15.7%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
57.0% (391)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
59.2% (333)
-23.2%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Elias shoots left. Peverley is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,710).
Home / Away
Elias
Peverley
Home
43.2% (1,683)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Elias
Peverley
P1
41.1%
59.6%
P2
43.1%
57.8%
P3
43.0%
57.0%
OT
43.2%
51.3%
Final 5 min
40.3%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |