Scouting Report
Richard Park holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Park on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Elias wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Park shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 44.5% vs Park 54.5% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 76.7%
Defensive zone
Elias 76.6%
Neutral zone
Elias 78.1%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Elias
Park
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Elias
Park
Last 7: Elias 2-5 Park
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Park
0
2
Elias
Park
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Park
2
3
Elias
Park
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Park
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (954)
55.7% (348)
-11.0%
Power Play
46.9% (196)
20.0% (5)
+26.9%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (180)
57.9% (38)
-21.8%
On power play, Elias has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Park shoots right. Elias is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Elias shoots left. Park is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Elias
Park
Home
46.0% (692)
62.0% (205)
Away
42.2% (677)
49.0% (192)
By Period
Elias
Park
P1
40.7%
55.3%
P2
46.8%
56.2%
P3
44.0%
55.2%
OT
53.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Park
72.0%▲
56.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Richard Park |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Richard Park |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Richard Park |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Richard Park |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Richard Park |