Scouting Report
Richard Park holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Park on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Elias wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Park shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Park 54.5% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 77.4%
Defensive zone
Elias 80.1%
Neutral zone
Elias 78.1%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Elias
Park
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Elias
Park
Last 7: Elias 2-5 Park
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Park
0
2
Elias
Park
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Park
2
3
Elias
Park
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Park
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
55.7% (348)
-13.4%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
20.0% (5)
+28.4%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
57.9% (38)
-21.9%
On power play, Elias has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Park shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Elias shoots left. Park is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Elias
Park
Home
43.2% (1,683)
62.0% (205)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
49.0% (192)
By Period
Elias
Park
P1
41.1%
55.3%
P2
43.1%
56.2%
P3
43.0%
55.2%
OT
43.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Park
72.0%▲
56.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Richard Park |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Richard Park |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Richard Park |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Richard Park |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Richard Park |