Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Elias wins 37.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.0% vs Johansen 52.6% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 76.3%
Defensive zone
Elias 84.7%
Neutral zone
Elias 78.9%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Elias
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Elias
Johansen
Last 7: Elias 1-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Elias
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Elias
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (562)
52.5% (1,002)
-12.3%
Power Play
49.3% (71)
56.1% (198)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
49.5% (111)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Elias is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Elias shoots left. Johansen is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Elias
Johansen
Home
39.9% (318)
54.7% (632)
Away
41.5% (359)
51.0% (679)
By Period
Elias
Johansen
P1
42.0%
54.3%
P2
38.6%
53.5%
P3
41.1%
50.9%
OT
45.2%
45.5%
Final 5 min
40.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
40.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 00:45 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |