Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Elias wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Johansen 53.3% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 88.5%
Defensive zone
Elias 81.9%
Neutral zone
Elias 90.6%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Elias
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
18
(28 meetings)
10
18
Elias
Johansen
Last 10: Elias 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
4
Elias
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
4
Elias
Johansen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
5
10
Elias
Johansen
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
53.1% (11,017)
-10.8%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
56.2% (2,163)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
50.5% (978)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Elias shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Elias
Johansen
Home
43.2% (1,683)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Elias
Johansen
P1
41.1%
53.2%
P2
43.1%
53.9%
P3
43.0%
52.8%
OT
43.2%
58.2%
Final 5 min
40.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2015 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |