Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Elias wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 45.8% vs Koivu 52.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 79.0%
Defensive zone
Elias 63.5%
Neutral zone
Elias 69.6%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Elias
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Elias
Koivu
Last 5: Elias 1-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
0
Elias
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Elias
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Elias
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (407)
52.7% (873)
-8.2%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
63.1% (168)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (62)
47.9% (267)
-1.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Elias is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Elias shoots left. Koivu is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (960).
Home / Away
Elias
Koivu
Home
44.8% (252)
56.7% (601)
Away
45.1% (246)
49.6% (738)
By Period
Elias
Koivu
P1
43.0%
51.2%
P2
47.8%
55.2%
P3
43.4%
51.3%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
45.0%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |