Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Elias wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Koivu 51.8% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 85.7%
Defensive zone
Elias 79.8%
Neutral zone
Elias 81.2%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Elias
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Elias
Koivu
Last 10: Elias 2-8 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Elias
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Elias
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Elias
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
51.9% (3,221)
-9.6%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
59.3% (437)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
48.0% (764)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Elias shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Elias
Koivu
Home
43.2% (1,683)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Elias
Koivu
P1
41.1%
51.1%
P2
43.1%
52.6%
P3
43.0%
51.8%
OT
43.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
40.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2013 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |