Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Elias wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 44.5% vs Crosby 50.1% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 51.4%
Defensive zone
Elias 73.9%
Neutral zone
Elias 59.0%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Elias
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Elias
Crosby
Last 5: Elias 2-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Elias
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Elias
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (954)
49.3% (335)
-4.6%
Power Play
46.9% (196)
54.7% (106)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (180)
28.6% (7)
+7.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Elias is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Elias shoots left. Crosby is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Elias
Crosby
Home
46.0% (692)
57.1% (240)
Away
42.2% (677)
42.3% (213)
By Period
Elias
Crosby
P1
40.7%
55.0%
P2
46.8%
46.3%
P3
44.0%
50.0%
OT
53.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |