Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Elias wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Crosby 53.5% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 73.7%
Defensive zone
Elias 80.7%
Neutral zone
Elias 85.7%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Elias
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Elias
Crosby
Last 10: Elias 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
6
Elias
Crosby
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Elias
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
7
Elias
Crosby
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
52.8% (17,990)
-10.5%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
57.4% (4,733)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
47.1% (765)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Elias shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Elias
Crosby
Home
43.2% (1,683)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Elias
Crosby
P1
41.1%
53.6%
P2
43.1%
53.9%
P3
43.0%
53.3%
OT
43.2%
49.6%
Final 5 min
40.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |