Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Elias wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 40.5% vs Crosby 49.9% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 67.5%
Defensive zone
Elias 87.7%
Neutral zone
Elias 79.1%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Elias
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Elias
Crosby
Last 5: Elias 1-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Elias
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Elias
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (550)
49.4% (1,194)
-10.1%
Power Play
50.0% (60)
52.6% (350)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
27.0% (63)
43.4% (53)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Elias is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Elias shoots left. Crosby is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Elias
Crosby
Home
39.1% (335)
51.3% (776)
Away
39.1% (338)
48.6% (821)
By Period
Elias
Crosby
P1
39.0%
50.5%
P2
35.4%
51.3%
P3
44.4%
47.8%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
39.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |