Scouting Report
Patrik Elias holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Elias wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ruutu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Ruutu 41.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 55.2%
Defensive zone
Elias 66.6%
Neutral zone
Elias 64.2%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Elias
Ruutu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Elias
Ruutu
Last 6: Elias 5-1 Ruutu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
0
Elias
Ruutu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
2
1
Elias
Ruutu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
2
0
Elias
Ruutu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Ruutu
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
40.3% (688)
+2.0%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
37.8% (119)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
36.4% (11)
-0.4%
On power play, Elias has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ruutu shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Elias shoots left. Ruutu is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Home / Away
Elias
Ruutu
Home
43.2% (1,683)
42.2% (438)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
37.4% (388)
By Period
Elias
Ruutu
P1
41.1%
37.9%
P2
43.1%
40.7%
P3
43.0%
41.3%
OT
43.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Ruutu
38.0%▲
36.5%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Tuomo Ruutu |