Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings). Elias wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Bozak 53.4% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 26-16 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 91.7%
Defensive zone
Elias 90.9%
Neutral zone
Elias 89.5%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Elias
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
26
(42 meetings)
16
26
Elias
Bozak
Last 10: Elias 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
12
Elias
Bozak
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
5
3
Elias
Bozak
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
6
11
Elias
Bozak
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
53.7% (9,596)
-11.4%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
55.2% (1,990)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
48.0% (1,094)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Elias shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Elias
Bozak
Home
43.2% (1,683)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Elias
Bozak
P1
41.1%
53.2%
P2
43.1%
52.8%
P3
43.0%
54.5%
OT
43.2%
52.9%
Final 5 min
40.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 28, 2015 | OT | 04:33 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 3 | 15:18 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |