Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Elias wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 44.5% vs Fiddler 50.8% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 90.9%
Defensive zone
Elias 82.9%
Neutral zone
Elias 83.1%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Elias
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Elias
Fiddler
Last 10: Elias 2-8 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
3
Elias
Fiddler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
4
Elias
Fiddler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
2
Elias
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (954)
51.3% (840)
-6.6%
Power Play
46.9% (196)
60.0% (15)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (180)
47.8% (186)
-11.7%
On power play, Fiddler has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Elias is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Elias shoots left. Fiddler is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Elias
Fiddler
Home
46.0% (692)
53.0% (530)
Away
42.2% (677)
48.7% (519)
By Period
Elias
Fiddler
P1
40.7%
53.3%
P2
46.8%
50.4%
P3
44.0%
48.2%
OT
53.3%
85.7%
Final 5 min
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |