Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Elias wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.7% vs Fiddler 52.1% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 94.1%
Defensive zone
Elias 82.3%
Neutral zone
Elias 92.3%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Elias
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Elias
Fiddler
Last 10: Elias 2-8 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
4
Elias
Fiddler
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
5
Elias
Fiddler
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
3
Elias
Fiddler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (2,591)
53.7% (4,899)
-11.4%
Power Play
48.4% (405)
50.0% (154)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (367)
46.9% (1,479)
-10.9%
On even strength, Fiddler has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Elias shoots left. Fiddler is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,362).
Home / Away
Elias
Fiddler
Home
43.2% (1,683)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
41.7% (1,725)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Elias
Fiddler
P1
41.1%
52.1%
P2
43.1%
52.6%
P3
43.0%
52.0%
OT
43.2%
46.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 30, 2014 | OT | 00:28 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |